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Thursday, December 30, 2010

Riding Elliott's Waves

Riding Elliott's Waves
This is probably what you all have been waiting for - drumroll please - using the Elliott Wave Theory in trading! In this section, we will look at some setups and apply our knowledge of Elliott Wave to determine entry, stop loss, and exit points. Let's get it on!

Hypothetical, will-most-probably-be-right scenario:

Let's say you wanted to begin your wave count. You see that price seems to have bottomed out and has began a new move upwards. Using your knowledge of Elliott Wave, you label this move up as Wave 1 and the retracement as Wave 2.
Elliott wave count
In order to find a good entry point, you head back to the School of Pipsology to find out which of the three cardinal rules and guidelines you could apply. Here's what you found out:
  • Rule Number 2: Wave 2 can NEVER go beyond the start of Wave 1
  • Waves 2 and 4 frequently bounce off Fibonacci retracement levels
So, using your superior Elliott Waving trading skillz, you decide to pop the Fibonacci tool to see if price is at a Fib level. Holy mama! Price is just chillin' like ice cream fillin' around the 50% level. Hmm, this could be the start of Wave 3, which is a very strong buy signal.

Elliott wave entry
Since you're a smart trader, you also take your stop into consideration.
Cardinal rule number 2 states that Wave 2 can never go beyond the start of Wave 1 so you set your stop below the former lows.
If price retraces more than 100% of Wave 1, then your wave count is wrong.
Let's see what happens next...
Elliott wave 3
Your Elliott Wave analysis paid off and you caught a huge upward move! You go to Vegas (or Macau), blow all your profits on roulette, and end right back where you started. Lucky for you we have another hypothetical scenario where you can earn imaginary money again...

Scenario 2:

This time let's use your knowledge on corrective waves pattterns to grab those pips.
Elliott wave flat example
You begin counting the waves on a downtrend and you notice that the ABC corrective waves are moving sideways. Hmm, is this a flat formation in the works? This means that price may just begin a new impulse wave once Wave C ends.
Elliott wave flat entry
Trusting your Elliott Wave skills, you go ahead and sell at market in hopes of catching a new impulse wave.
You place your stop just a couple of pips above the start of Wave 4 just incase your wave count is wrong.
Elliott wave flat exit
Because we like happy endings, your trade idea works out and nets you a couple thousand pips on this day, which is not always the case.
You have also learned your lesson this time around so you skip Vegas and decide to use your profits to grow your trading capital instead.

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